Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.052408 0.061097 0.070633 0.081857 0.094683 0.108864 0.125706
2025-03-16 0.038425 0.049559 0.062909 0.080014 0.101263 0.126694 0.159333
2025-03-23 0.031588 0.044501 0.061215 0.084242 0.114918 0.154125 0.207729
2025-03-30 0.025510 0.038958 0.057616 0.085043 0.123910 0.176510 0.252458
2025-04-06 0.020296 0.033421 0.052837 0.083126 0.128512 0.193160 0.291123
2025-04-13 0.016513 0.029160 0.049009 0.081692 0.133195 0.209984 0.331422
2025-04-20 0.014708 0.027621 0.048964 0.085789 0.146379 0.240290 0.394258
2025-04-27 0.013052 0.025982 0.048417 0.088857 0.158100 0.269317 0.457750
2025-05-04 0.010875 0.022978 0.045042 0.086599 0.160652 0.283869 0.499509
2025-05-11 0.009308 0.020802 0.042748 0.085808 0.165411 0.302213 0.548788
2025-05-18 0.007809 0.018461 0.039756 0.083256 0.166615 0.314447 0.588605
2025-05-25 0.006672 0.016645 0.037472 0.081668 0.169267 0.329234 0.633837
2025-06-01 0.005913 0.015538 0.036499 0.082618 0.176991 0.354137 0.699887
2025-06-08 0.004978 0.013831 0.033995 0.080097 0.177655 0.366130 0.743582
2025-06-15 0.004647 0.013521 0.034492 0.083970 0.191566 0.404331 0.839340
2025-06-22 0.004135 0.012644 0.033560 0.084582 0.198775 0.430176 0.913642
2025-06-29 0.003542 0.011417 0.031598 0.082579 0.200161 0.444548 0.966700
2025-07-06 0.003064 0.010400 0.029971 0.081106 0.202485 0.460937 1.024989
2025-07-13 0.002906 0.010281 0.030604 0.085151 0.217610 0.505084 1.143026
2025-07-20 0.002715 0.010019 0.030820 0.088183 0.230704 0.545970 1.257319
2025-07-27 0.002340 0.009084 0.029057 0.085934 0.231113 0.559528 1.315107
2025-08-03 0.002066 0.008415 0.027918 0.085145 0.234921 0.580807 1.390953
2025-08-10 0.001774 0.007603 0.026222 0.082609 0.234106 0.591596 1.444660